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November 6, 2009

Does it matter that LSU loyalists view Alabama coach Nick Saban like an ex-wife who married an archenemy? And so what if Alabama fans dismiss LSU coach Les Miles as a big-time trash-talker?

The annual LSU-Alabama football grudge match never has been about the coaches, anyway. Right?

Saban, a former LSU coach, became a traitor in Louisiana after he took the coaching job at Alabama three years ago. When he used a derogatory term to describe an LSU fan in January 2007, the gauntlet was thrown down.

Miles offended Crimson Tide fans last season when he spoke of a growing rivalry with Ala-bleeping-bama. Miles urged LSU fans "not to make too much of that game, as it seems like a lot of teams in Louisiana beat that team." He was referencing Alabama's 21-14 upset loss to Louisiana-Monroe in 2007.

So no matter what they claimed, LSU's 41-34 victory over Alabama in '07 and the Crimson Tide's 27-21 overtime victory in last season's rematch were, at least to some extent, about the coaches.

Saturday's clash isn't.

Saban and Miles still are detested by the opposing fan bases, but this season's game has more at stake.

In the two previous meetings, one of the teams had two losses. This time, it's about gaining the advantage in the SEC West race, advancing to challenge Florida in the SEC championship game and possibly playing for a national championship.

"It's truly always been about LSU versus Alabama in my mind," Miles said. "I got a lot going on in my life. I enjoy what I do, who I work with, who I'm fortunate to represent. Even though there may well have been questions centered around that issue, it was never my view."

Saban shares that view, especially this year.

"This game is about the players," he said. "These are two very good teams that have good players on both sides, and there is a lot to talk about in terms of what's going to happen on the field. Our focus needs to be on playing our best football of the year, and that's certainly what we're going to try ... to do."

Alabama hasn't played its best football of late. The Tide have scored 22 or fewer points in each of the past three games and needed two blocked field goals to stave off Tennessee 12-10 in their most recent game. The Tide had scored at least 34 points in each of their first five games.

Alabama quarterback Greg McElroy has struggled in the past three games, passing for just 359 yards with no touchdowns and two interceptions.

Crimson Tide guard Mike Johnson said several factors have contributed to the decline in the passing game.

"We've faced better defenses," Johnson said. "There is a lot to be said about SEC defenses that can come in and stop the pass. And we're still pretty young on offense. We've just got to get back to what we planned on doing and make more explosive plays in the air and on the ground."

LSU has offensive issues, too. The Tigers are last in the league and 100th in the nation in total offense. Quarterback Jordan Jefferson has passed for fewer than 200 yards in five games. Running back Charles Scott is the Tigers' leading rusher with just 459 yards.

The Tigers don't figure to have much rushing success against Alabama, which allows just 68.8 rushing yards per game to rank second in the country.

"Our guys will certainly look forward to that challenge," Miles said. "It terms of establishing the run, it's always important in every game with significance. If you don't, you become a one-dimensional team."

The top priority for LSU is making Alabama one-dimensional by containing Tide sophomore running back Mark Ingram, a leading Heisman Trophy contender, who has rushed for 657 yards and four touchdowns in the past four games.

"Mark is a tough guy to bring down," LSU linebacker Perry Riley said. "You have to go get it against him. You must create the contact instead of waiting for it. You have to attack the ball."

The Tigers, 35th in the country in run defense, intend to attack.

"Alabama is a running team and we're a run-stopping team," safety Chad Jones said. "We have to play very physical. We have to get them to the ground on first contact. We must play very violently."

Ingram expects nothing less.

"They're big and fast and strong and physical," he said. "They all get to the ball and they make it hard for offenses to have success. It's going to be a battle out there."

Who gets the edge?

Alabama rush offense vs. LSU rush defense:
Mark Ingram has rushed for at least 99 yards in each of the past four games. The Crimson Tide averages 217.6 rushing yards per game. Trent Richardson has added 377 yards as a complementary back. LSU's run defense ranks 35th in the nation. The front four has been vulnerable, but the linebackers are solid. LB Kelvin Sheppard leads the Tigers with 70 tackles.
Edge: Alabama

Alabama pass offense vs. LSU pass defense:
The most troublesome stat for Alabama is that talented WR Julio Jones has just 20 receptions. It's tough to figure how a player that good gets the football so infrequently. QB Greg McElroy has struggled of late. He has passed for fewer than 150 yards in each of the past four games. LSU's pass defense is arguably the best McElroy will have faced. The Tigers are 24th in the country against the pass and have 11 interceptions. CB Patrick Peterson and FS Chad Jones have All-America ability.
Edge: LSU

LSU rush offense vs. Alabama rush defense:
Although LSU rushed for 267 yards against Tulane last week, its rushing output has been largely mediocre this season. Twice the Tigers have been limited to fewer than 70 rushing yards. Four times they've been held to less than 150. RB Charles Scott leads the Tigers with 459 rushing yards. Backup quarterback Russell Shepard has added 225, with a lot coming out of the "Wildcat" formation. They must contend with Alabama's Rolando McClain, perhaps the nation's best linebacker, and NT Terrence Cody, one of the country's premier run-stuffers. Alabama is second in the country in run defense.
Edge: Alabama

LSU pass offense vs. Alabama pass defense:
LSU has good WRs in Terrance Toliver and Brandon LaFell, who both have more than 35 receptions. LaFell has eight touchdown grabs. TE Richard Dickson is proven. But getting them the ball hasn't been easy. QB Jordan Jefferson has been inconsistent, and he struggled mightily in a 13-3 loss to Florida. Alabama has a powerful pass rush that has produced 23 sacks, with three players having at least four. The Tide also have 11 interceptions, led by S Mark Barron with four. Alabama has allowed just five touchdown passes.
Edge: Alabama

Alabama special teams vs. LSU special teams:
Two of the country's fastest and most dangerous return men will be featured. Alabama's Javier Arenas averages 16.8 yards per punt return and 27.8 yards on kickoffs. LSU's Trindon Holliday averages 14.6 on punts and 23.7 on kickoffs. LSU is better on kick coverage, though. Alabama K Leigh Tiffin has converted 20-of-23 field-goal attempts, with a long of 50 yards. P P.J. Fitzgerald averages 42.5 yards. LSU K Josh Jasper is 10-of-13, including a 52-yarder. P Derek Helton averages 39 yards.
Edge: Alabama

Alabama coaching staff vs. LSU coaching staff
Nick Saban and Les Miles have won national championships at LSU. But Saban rebuilt a struggling program there and has done the same at Alabama. Saban is 118-50-1 in his career. Miles has 49 wins at LSU and is 77-33 in his career.
Edge: Alabama

X-factor:
LSU's Scott is having a subpar season by his standards. He's big, strong and fast, and has been productive in the past; he could pose some problems for Alabama's sturdy run defense. Last season, he rushed for 92 yards against the Tide. Scott had his first 100-yard game of the season last week against Tulane. With a strong performance, he could be a major factor in keeping the Tigers out of obvious passing situations and controlling the ball.

Alabama will win if:
Alabama needs a strong game from Ingram so it won't have to rely on a questionable passing game. Getting Jones involved in the offense is important. Containing the speedy Holliday also is important because Alabama's defense doesn't figure to give up many points.

LSU will win if:
LSU wants to limit Ingram to short gains on early downs and force McElroy to throw against the secondary, which is the strength of the defense. The Tigers must avoid turnovers and find ways to get the football to LaFell and Toliver.

EXPERT PICKS Olin Buchanan: Alabama 20, LSU 10
Tom Dienhart: Alabama 24, LSU 7
David Fox: Alabama 28, LSU 14
Mike Huguenin: Alabama 17, LSU 6
Jason King: Alabama 20, LSU 10
Steve Megargee: Alabama 24, LSU 10

Olin Buchanan is the senior college football writer for Rivals.com. He can be reached at olin@rivals.com.




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